ANALYSE THIS: PSG more likely to progress than historic results suggest

FOOTBALL – The Champions League first legs have all been played and the favourites to progress generally look in good shape to do so. There are two common ways to assess what the likelihood of going through actually is – the first uses historical results and calculates the frequency with which teams recording a particular result went through. The second uses a statistical model based on team ratings to assess the chances of progress. The two methods give broadly the same chance for each of the four ties won by the away team but if a match is drawn or results in a narrow home win, the chances from the two methods begin to diverge.

IN THE NEWS: Sevilla 4th Spanish team in 2015/2016 CL

FOOTBALL – With Sevilla FC winning the Europa League final, they have automatically qualified for the 2015/2016 Champions League group stage, making it the fourth Spanish side among the 22 teams already qualified for next season’s CL main tournament.

THE WAVE: FC Barcelona – Bayern München

FOOTBALL – This was a very lively and open match, especially considering the size of the stakes. Bayern attempted to keep pace with the hosts in the possession battle, but soon found Barça’s opportunities piling up. Bayern managed a few chances for themselves, but in the final 15 minutes the floodgates burst and Lionel Messi scored twice and in stoppage time set up Neymar for Barca’s third.

REVIEW: Messi & Ronaldo and the German connection

FOOTBALL – Lionel Messi scored twice for Barcelona in their 3-0 win against Bayern Munchen to reach a total of 14 CL goals against German teams, equal as many as Cristiano Ronaldo. Check out more below.

THE WAVE: Bayern München – FC Porto

FOOTBALL – The wave shows a very dominant Bayern München all over the match. From around the 70′ minute, Porto try to force something, which immediately led to their only goal in the match.

THE WAVE: Bayern München v Shakhtar Donetsk

FOOTBALL – It started with the fastest red card in Champions League history and an early penalty goal for Bayern, who not only equalled their biggest CL victory, but also the biggest win by any team in a CL match in the knockout stages, their 7-0 win rout of FC Basel on 13 March 2012. Especially in the first half, but also for large portions of the second half, Bayern ripped through Shakhtar Donetsk like a tidal wave.

THE WAVE: Bayern München v HSV

FOOTBALL – Bayern München defeated Hamburger SV 8-0 in the Bundesliga on Saturday. The wave shows nothing but Bayern (in red) in attack. They were very effective as well. Every time they pushed towards HSV (in blue), they scored.

REVIEW: Bayern claim 20th winter championship

FOOTBALL – Bayern München secured their 20th winter championship (‘Herbstmeister’ in German) after a 4-0 away win at Augsburg on Saturday. See below how many times they have converted that title into an actual league championship.

THE WAVE: Bayern München v Manchester City

FOOTBALL – The Wave shows Bayern pushing for the winning goal which eventually came in the dying moments of the match. City’s efforts seemed to be over after halftime.

ANALYSE THIS: Current Champions League team most likely to win Europa League

FOOTBALL – The Europa League kicks off on Thursday, 18 September and at this stage there is less chance of an eventual Europa League winner coming from one of the 48 teams starting the competition than there is from one of the 32 teams currently competing in the Champions League.